No clear favorite. 21°C leads at just 34%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21°C | 34% | +194% | $3K |
| 2 | 22°C | 34% | +194% | $1K |
| 3 | 20°C | 14% | +614% | $2K |
| 4 | 23°C BEST VALUE | 12% | +770% | $3K |
| 5 | 24°C or higher | 4% | +2640% | $350 |
| 6 | 19°C | 3% | +3822% | $364 |
| 7 | 18°C | 1% | +8596% | $286 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX) on 12 Nov '26. The qualifying value is the highest tempe...
This prediction market tracks whether Highest temperature in Mexico City on November 12? will occur, with $10K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
No clear favorite has emerged — 21°C leads at only 34% across 7 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $9K traded in the last 24 hours alone (85% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-11-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Nov 12, 2026 at 00:45 UTC, the leading outcome is 21°C at 34% probability, with $10K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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