26°C or higher leads at 84%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26°C or higher | 84% | +18% | $16K |
| 2 | 25°C BEST VALUE | 11% | +809% | $7K |
| 3 | 24°C | 2% | +5782% | $11K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this m...
As of May 15, 2026 at 01:05 UTC, the leading outcome is 26°C or higher at 84% probability, with $158K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $158K, with $132K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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