No clear favorite. Above 58 leads at just 34%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Above 58 | 34% | +190% | $3K |
| 2 | Above 60 | 33% | +203% | $5K |
| 3 | Above 55 | 30% | +228% | $3K |
| 4 | Above 50 | 30% | +239% | $12K |
| 5 | Above 62 | 22% | +344% | $4K |
| 6 | Above 64 | 14% | +641% | $701 |
| 7 | Above 66 | 11% | +809% | $4K |
| 8 | Above 68 BEST VALUE | 9% | +975% | $319 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of Senators voting "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027 is above the...
This prediction market tracks whether How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? will occur, with $30K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Above 58 leads at only 34% across 8 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours alone (36% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 15, 2026 at 00:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 58 at 34% probability, with $30K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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