Market is split — Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? at 49%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
High Volume — $1.5M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | 49% | +104% | $1.5M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Othe...
This prediction market tracks whether Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? will occur, with $1.5M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market is closely contested, with Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? leading at just 49%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
The market has seen $25K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 29, 2026 at 17:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? at 49% probability, with $1.5M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $1.5M, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms