The market strongly favors M15 Luan: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke Ogura at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M15 Luan: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke Ogura | 100% | +0% | $795 |
| 2 | Completed Match | 100% | +0% | $13K |
| 3 | M15 Luan: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke Ogura Set 2 Winner | 100% | +1% | - |
| 4 | M15 Luan: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke Ogura Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +1% | - |
| 5 | M15 Luan: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke Ogura Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +1% | - |
| 6 | M15 Luan: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke Ogura Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +1% | - |
| 7 | M15 Luan: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke Ogura Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +1% | - |
| 8 | M15 Luan: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke Ogura Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +1% | - |
| 9 | M15 Luan: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke Ogura Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +1% | - |
| 10 | M15 Luan: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke Ogura Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +1% | - |
| 11 | M15 Luan: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke Ogura Set 1 Winner BEST VALUE | 90% | +10% | - |
| 12 | M15 Luan: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke Ogura Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 90% | +10% | - |
| 13 | M15 Luan: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke Ogura Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 90% | +10% | - |
| 14 | M15 Luan: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke Ogura Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 90% | +10% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryuki Matsuda and Kosuke Ogura in the M15 Luan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryuki Ma...
This prediction market tracks whether M15 Luan: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke Ogura will occur, with $14K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: M15 Luan: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke Ogura is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 02, 2026 at 05:05 UTC, the leading outcome is M15 Luan: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke Ogura at 100% probability, with $14K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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