No clear favorite. Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? leads at just 10%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | 10% | +910% | $270K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market w...
This prediction market tracks whether Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? will occur, with $270K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? leads at only 10% across 1 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Recent trading volume of $18K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-12-31. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 20, 2026 at 18:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? at 10% probability, with $270K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $270K, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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