Match Winner leads at 82%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 82% | +23% | $10K |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 74% | +36% | $407 |
| 3 | Game 1 Winner | 72% | +38% | $354 |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 64% | +55% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 64% | +55% | - |
| 6 | Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) | 55% | +83% | $1K |
| 7 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 52% | +90% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% | +94% | - |
| 9 | Any Player Penta Kill | 52% | +94% | - |
| 10 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 42% | +141% | - |
| 15 | O/U 2.5 Games | 40% | +153% | $103 |
| 16 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% | +251% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% | +251% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 28% | +257% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 28% | +257% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors BEST VALUE | 27% | +270% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Anyone's Legend and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 1 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend will occur, with $12K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 82%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $12K traded in the last 24 hours alone (97% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 31, 2026 at 19:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 82% probability, with $12K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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