Match Winner leads at 73%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 73% | +37% | $4K |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 56% | +80% | $15K |
| 3 | Game 1 Winner | 54% | +85% | $14K |
| 4 | Any Player Penta Kill | 52% | +92% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +98% | - |
| 6 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +98% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | O/U 2.5 Games BEST VALUE | 46% | +117% | $124 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Semifinal match between Arctic Pandas and Pyramid IV Esports in the EMEA Masters Group A, initially scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This ma...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Pyramid IV Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A will occur, with $36K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 73%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $36K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-23. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 22, 2026 at 10:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 73% probability, with $36K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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