Match Winner leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 80% | +26% | $15K |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 73% | +37% | $10K |
| 3 | Game 1 Winner | 72% | +38% | $7K |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 63% | +59% | - |
| 5 | Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5) | 56% | +77% | $27K |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% | +96% | - |
| 7 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 51% | +96% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +98% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +98% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +98% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +102% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +102% | - |
| 18 | Any Player Penta Kill BEST VALUE | 48% | +108% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 48% | +108% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Penta Kill | 48% | +108% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Mid bracket round 2 match between Bushido Wildcats and Dark Passage in the TCL Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 12 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Bus...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins will occur, with $58K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $33K traded in the last 24 hours alone (56% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-12. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 11, 2026 at 05:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 80% probability, with $58K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms