Match Winner leads at 76%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 76% | +31% | $10K |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 69% | +45% | $878 |
| 3 | Game 1 Winner | 67% | +49% | $7K |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Blue Otter (+1.5) | 48% | +108% | $918 |
| 20 | O/U 2.5 Games BEST VALUE | 44% | +127% | $32 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Conviction and Blue Otter in the North American Challengers League Last Chance Qualifier, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This marke...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Conviction vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Last Chance Qualifier will occur, with $20K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 76%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $20K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-15. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 14, 2026 at 21:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 76% probability, with $20K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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