Market is split — Match Winner at 54%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 54% | +85% | $37K |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | O/U 2.5 Games | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Game 1 Winner | 50% | +102% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +102% | - |
| 19 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +102% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon BEST VALUE | 48% | +106% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between Dream Esports and Capybara Esports in the LPLOL Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 12 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Dream Esp...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Dream Esports vs Capybara Esports (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage will occur, with $37K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market is closely contested, with Match Winner leading at just 54%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $37K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 11, 2026 at 17:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 54% probability, with $37K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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