Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) leads at 78%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) | 78% | +28% | $9K |
| 2 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 62% | +63% | $13 |
| 3 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 62% | +63% | $113 |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 57% | +74% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 57% | +74% | - |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +98% | $102 |
| 7 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | $600 |
| 9 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | $605 |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 48% | +108% | $269 |
| 20 | First Blood in Game 2? BEST VALUE | 44% | +125% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Disguised and Team Liquid in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 15 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised w...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season will occur, with $20K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) at 78%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (88% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 15, 2026 at 17:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) at 78% probability, with $20K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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