The market strongly favors Match Winner at 94%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 94% | +7% | $7K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 88% | +14% | $4K |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 88% | +14% | $7K |
| 4 | Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs mCon esports (+1.5) | 70% | +42% | $6 |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 64% | +55% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 64% | +55% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 63% | +59% | - |
| 8 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 55% | +83% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% | +92% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 52% | +94% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +98% | - |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 29% | +245% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 29% | +245% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 28% | +264% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 27% | +270% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors BEST VALUE | 26% | +285% | - |
| 20 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 26% | +285% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Frites Esports Club and mCon esports in the Road Of Legends Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 11 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fr...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Frites Esports Club vs mCon esports (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season will occur, with $21K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 94%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 11, 2026 at 06:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 94% probability, with $21K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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