Both Teams Slay a Dragon leads at 65%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 65% | +54% | - |
| 2 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 64% | +55% | - |
| 3 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 64% | +56% | - |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 63% | +59% | - |
| 5 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 54% | +87% | - |
| 6 | Match Winner | 52% | +90% | $23K |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% | +90% | - |
| 8 | Game 1 Winner | 52% | +94% | $3K |
| 9 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 52% | +94% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +98% | - |
| 11 | First Blood in Game 1? | 50% | +98% | - |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 50% | +98% | $4K |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +98% | $4K |
| 14 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | First Blood in Game 2? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Game 2 Winner | 50% | +102% | - |
| 19 | O/U 2.5 Games | 48% | +106% | $202 |
| 20 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon BEST VALUE | 39% | +156% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK F...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group will occur, with $35K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 65%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $33K traded in the last 24 hours alone (95% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-23. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 23, 2026 at 02:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 65% probability, with $35K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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