Match Winner leads at 80%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 80% | +24% | $7K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 72% | +40% | $382 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 72% | +40% | $145 |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 68% | +47% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 68% | +47% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 66% | +53% | - |
| 7 | First Blood in Game 2? | 55% | +83% | - |
| 8 | Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | 54% | +87% | $97K |
| 9 | First Blood in Game 1? | 54% | +87% | - |
| 10 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 52% | +94% | - |
| 11 | Any Player Penta Kill | 52% | +94% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% | +96% | - |
| 13 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 48% | +106% | - |
| 18 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 44% | +125% | - |
| 19 | O/U 2.5 Games | 38% | +160% | $1K |
| 20 | Any Player Quadra Kill BEST VALUE | 28% | +264% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Karmine Corp and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 1 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karm...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season will occur, with $105K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 80%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $105K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 01, 2026 at 11:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 80% probability, with $105K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $105K, with $105K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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