The market strongly favors Match Winner at 92%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 92% | +9% | $8K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 86% | +17% | $1K |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 84% | +18% | $171 |
| 4 | Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) | 72% | +40% | $3K |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 66% | +53% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 63% | +59% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 63% | +59% | - |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 58% | +71% | - |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 58% | +71% | - |
| 10 | First Blood in Game 1? | 57% | +74% | - |
| 11 | First Blood in Game 2? | 57% | +74% | - |
| 12 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 52% | +90% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Penta Kill | 52% | +94% | - |
| 14 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? BEST VALUE | 45% | +122% | - |
| 20 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 45% | +122% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Karmine Corp and Team Heretics in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 3 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karm...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season will occur, with $12K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 92%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours alone (92% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-03. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 03, 2026 at 05:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 92% probability, with $12K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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