The market strongly favors Match Winner at 90%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 90% | +12% | $8K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 84% | +20% | $17K |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 84% | +20% | $9K |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 80% | +25% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 74% | +34% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 74% | +34% | - |
| 7 | Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5) | 70% | +42% | $17K |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 55% | +82% | $22 |
| 9 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 52% | +92% | - |
| 10 | First Blood in Game 2? | 52% | +92% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | $5 |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between LOUD and Leviatan Esports in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 16 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: LOUD vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season will occur, with $60K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 90%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $59K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 16, 2026 at 15:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 90% probability, with $60K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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