The market strongly favors Match Winner at 88%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 88% | +14% | $4K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 80% | +24% | $367 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 80% | +24% | - |
| 4 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 76% | +31% | - |
| 5 | Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Contingent Esports (+1.5) | 66% | +50% | $6K |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 61% | +64% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% | +96% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +98% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +98% | - |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +98% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Any Player Quadra Kill BEST VALUE | 48% | +108% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 48% | +108% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 48% | +108% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Penta Kill | 48% | +108% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between NRG Esports and Contingent Esports in the North American Challengers League Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13 at 11:00PM ET. This market will...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: NRG Esports vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage will occur, with $15K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Match Winner is priced at 88%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (96% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-14. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 13, 2026 at 22:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 88% probability, with $15K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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