The market strongly favors Game 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 100% | +0% | $537K |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 100% | +0% | $297K |
| 3 | Match Winner | 100% | +0% | $125K |
| 4 | Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) | 100% | +0% | $1K |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 100% | +0% | $3K |
| 6 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 100% | +0% | $4K |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 90% | +10% | $21 |
| 8 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% | +10% | - |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 90% | +11% | $101 |
| 10 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +98% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Any Player Penta Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Shopify Rebellion and Disguised in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 26 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season will occur, with $973K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: Game 1 Winner is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $973K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-27. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 27, 2026 at 00:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $973K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $973K, with $973K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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