Both Teams Slay a Dragon leads at 64%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 64% | +55% | - |
| 2 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 64% | +56% | - |
| 3 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 55% | +83% | - |
| 4 | Any Player Penta Kill | 55% | +83% | - |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% | +90% | - |
| 6 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 52% | +92% | - |
| 7 | First Blood in Game 1? | 51% | +96% | - |
| 8 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | First Blood in Game 2? | 49% | +104% | - |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 49% | +104% | - |
| 14 | O/U 2.5 Games | 48% | +111% | $422 |
| 15 | Game 2 Winner | 40% | +147% | - |
| 16 | Game 1 Winner | 40% | +153% | $204 |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 40% | +153% | - |
| 18 | Match Winner | 36% | +174% | $41K |
| 19 | Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) | 34% | +190% | $10 |
| 20 | Any Player Quadra Kill BEST VALUE | 29% | +245% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" i...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend will occur, with $42K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 64%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $41K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-21. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 20, 2026 at 20:25 UTC, the leading outcome is Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 64% probability, with $42K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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