The market strongly favors Game 1 Winner at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $3.6M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 100% | - | $431K |
| 2 | O/U 2.5 Games | 100% | - | $7K |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% | - | $54 |
| 4 | First Blood in Game 2? | 100% | - | $152 |
| 5 | Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | First Blood in Game 1? | 100% | - | - |
| 7 | Total Kills Over/Under 10.5 in Game 2? | 100% | - | $150 |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 6.5 in Game 2? | 100% | - | $150 |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 8.5 in Game 2? | 100% | - | $150 |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 9.5 in Game 2? | 100% | - | $150 |
| 11 | Total Kills Over/Under 7.5 in Game 2? | 100% | - | $150 |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | $3 |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | $100 |
| 14 | Total Kills Over/Under 20.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | $100 |
| 15 | Total Kills Over/Under 19.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | $100 |
| 16 | Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | $100 |
| 17 | Total Kills Over/Under 17.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | $100 |
| 18 | Total Kills Over/Under 16.5 in Game 1? | 100% | - | $100 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for April 30 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming"...
As of May 01, 2026 at 13:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Game 1 Winner at 100% probability, with $3.6M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $3.6M, with $130K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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