Match Winner leads at 74%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 74% | +34% | $12K |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 70% | +43% | $29 |
| 3 | Game 2 Winner | 69% | +45% | $183 |
| 4 | Any Player Penta Kill | 52% | +90% | - |
| 5 | Game Handicap: VLR (-1.5) vs MAGAZA (+1.5) | 51% | +96% | $1K |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor BEST VALUE | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% | +100% | - |
| 20 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% | +100% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market refers to the LoL Round 7 match between Valerion and MAGAZA in the EMEA Masters Swiss Stage, initially scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Valerion"...
This prediction market tracks whether LoL: Valerion vs MAGAZA (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage will occur, with $14K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
Traders lean toward Match Winner at 74%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-03. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 02, 2026 at 13:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Match Winner at 74% probability, with $14K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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