The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nithya Raman | 46% | $5K |
| 2 | Karen Bass | 33% | $22K |
| 3 | Spencer Pratt | 12% | $82K |
| 4 | Rae Huang | 4% | $36K |
| 5 | Adam Miller | 3% | $83K |
| 6 | Rick Caruso | 1% | $424K |
| 7 | Austin Beutner | 1% | $6K |
| 8 | Lindsey Horvath | 1% | $15K |
| 9 | Gina Viola | 1% | $76K |
| 10 | Asaad Alnajjar | 1% | $28K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 21:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Nithya Raman at 46% probability, with $779K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $779K, with $33K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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