Market is split — Karen Bass at 60%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
High Volume — $10.9M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karen Bass | 60% | +68% | $564K |
| 2 | Nithya Raman BEST VALUE | 39% | +157% | $893K |
| 3 | Spencer Pratt | 1% | +18082% | $6.3M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on No...
This prediction market tracks whether Los Angeles Mayoral Election will occur, with $10.9M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market is closely contested, with Karen Bass leading at just 60%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
The market has seen $242K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-02. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 10, 2026 at 08:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Karen Bass at 60% probability, with $10.9M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $10.9M, with $242K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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