Lowest temperature in Paris on July 1?

Ends Jul 01, 2026 · Volume: $26K · 24h: $17K · Updated Jul 01, 2026 at 23:15 UTC
PredScope Signal: Strong Consensus

The market strongly favors 16°C at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.

🔥 Surging 24h volume is 65% of total — extremely active trading
# Outcome Probability If Right Volume
1 16°C 100% - $8K
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This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26. The resolution source for this...

Market Analysis

This prediction market tracks whether Lowest temperature in Paris on July 1? will occur, with $26K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.

The market shows strong consensus: 16°C is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.

Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (65% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.

This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.

Total Volume
$26K
Liquidity
$0

FAQ

What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Paris on July 1??

As of Jul 01, 2026 at 23:15 UTC, the leading outcome is 16°C at 100% probability, with $26K in total trading volume on Polymarket.

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