The market strongly favors $690 at 99%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $690 | 99% | +1% | $300 |
| 2 | $700 | 98% | +2% | $6 |
| 3 | $710 | 98% | +2% | $7 |
| 4 | $720 | 92% | +8% | $876 |
| 5 | $730 | 57% | +75% | $6K |
| 6 | $740 BEST VALUE | 12% | +700% | $25 |
| 7 | $750 | 2% | +4662% | $12K |
| 8 | $760 | 2% | +6150% | $1 |
| 9 | $770 | 2% | +6150% | - |
| 10 | $790 | 1% | +7043% | - |
| 11 | $800 | 1% | +7043% | - |
| 12 | $780 | 1% | +7307% | - |
| 13 | $810 | 1% | +7307% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. O...
This prediction market tracks whether Will Meta (META) finish week of September 28 above___? will occur, with $19K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
The market shows strong consensus: $690 is priced at 99%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-02. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 02, 2026 at 15:15 UTC, the leading outcome is $690 at 99% probability, with $19K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms