No clear favorite. $100M leads at just 24%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $3.1M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $100M | 24% | +326% | $39K |
| 2 | $300M | 16% | +506% | $76K |
| 3 | $700M | 14% | +622% | $1.4M |
| 4 | $500M | 14% | +641% | $14K |
| 5 | $1B | 8% | +1233% | $591K |
| 6 | $2B BEST VALUE | 5% | +1769% | $395K |
| 7 | $3B | 5% | +1920% | $301K |
| 8 | $4B | 4% | +2122% | $317K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." T...
This prediction market tracks whether Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch? will occur, with $3.1M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by cryptocurrency market dynamics, regulatory developments, and on-chain sentiment.
No clear favorite has emerged — $100M leads at only 24% across 8 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $14K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-01. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 13, 2026 at 08:05 UTC, the leading outcome is $100M at 24% probability, with $3.1M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $3.1M, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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