The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 at 94%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 | 94% | +6% | $4K |
| 2 | Deportivo Toluca FC O/U 0.5 | 86% | +17% | $462 |
| 3 | O/U 1.5 | 78% | +29% | $2K |
| 4 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 72% | +40% | $10 |
| 5 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 70% | +44% | - |
| 6 | 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 70% | +44% | - |
| 7 | Pumas de la UNAM O/U 0.5 | 62% | +60% | $102 |
| 8 | Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 62% | +63% | $6 |
| 9 | Deportivo Toluca FC O/U 1.5 | 57% | +75% | $842 |
| 10 | Deportivo Toluca FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 55% | +83% | $10 |
| 11 | O/U 2.5 | 54% | +87% | $12K |
| 12 | Both Teams to Score | 53% | +89% | $13K |
| 13 | 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 14 | Deportivo Toluca FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Deportivo Toluca FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Pumas de la UNAM 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Pumas de la UNAM 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5) | 35% | +186% | $4K |
| 19 | 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 33% | +203% | $655 |
| 20 | Pumas de la UNAM 1st Half O/U 0.5 BEST VALUE | 32% | +208% | $629 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
More markets for the Liga MX game, scheduled for July 21 at 11:00 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM - More Markets will occur, with $56K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 is priced at 94%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $54K traded in the last 24 hours alone (98% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-22. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 22, 2026 at 03:15 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 at 94% probability, with $56K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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