3.50% to 3.99% leads at 60%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3.50% to 3.99% | 60% | +65% | $13K |
| 2 | 4.00% to 4.49% | 16% | +525% | $24K |
| 3 | 3.00% to 3.49% BEST VALUE | 9% | +987% | $38K |
| 4 | 5.00% to 5.49% | 2% | +4551% | $4K |
| 5 | 4.50% to 4.99% | 2% | +6150% | $6K |
| 6 | 2.50% to 2.99% | 1% | +7307% | $6K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI). Thi...
This prediction market tracks whether Mexico Annual Inflation 2026 will occur, with $99K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by macroeconomic indicators, central bank signals, and market expectations.
Traders lean toward 3.50% to 3.99% at 60%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Recent trading volume of $13K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-09. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 21, 2026 at 22:15 UTC, the leading outcome is 3.50% to 3.99% at 60% probability, with $99K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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