The market strongly favors December 31, 2026 at 92%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $26.4M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | December 31, 2026 | 92% | +9% | $1.1M |
| 2 | June 30, 2026 | 76% | +31% | $2.5M |
| 3 | May 31, 2026 BEST VALUE | 56% | +80% | $2.1M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this mark...
As of May 14, 2026 at 22:25 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 92% probability, with $26.4M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $26.4M, with $439K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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