The market strongly favors No change at 98%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $27.4M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | No change BEST VALUE | 98% | +3% | $4.8M |
| 2 | 25 bps decrease | 1% | +7307% | $4.9M |
| 3 | 25 bps increase | 1% | +13233% | $5.0M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (F...
As of May 14, 2026 at 22:25 UTC, the leading outcome is No change at 98% probability, with $27.4M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $27.4M, with $1.2M traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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