Mike Lindell leads at 69%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Lindell | 69% | +45% | $147K |
| 2 | Lisa Demuth BEST VALUE | 24% | +308% | $74K |
| 3 | Kendall Qualls | 1% | +12400% | $56K |
| 4 | Scott Jensen | 1% | +15285% | $138K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the...
This prediction market tracks whether Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner will occur, with $489K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward Mike Lindell at 69%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
The market has seen $11K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-11. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 31, 2026 at 20:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Mike Lindell at 69% probability, with $489K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $489K, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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