The market strongly favors 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 86% | +16% | $5 |
| 2 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 74% | +35% | - |
| 3 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 62% | +61% | $154 |
| 4 | NRFI | 56% | +80% | $267 |
| 5 | O/U 9.5 | 54% | +87% | $89K |
| 6 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals | 52% | +94% | $17K |
| 7 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 8 | O/U 10.5 | 46% | +115% | $4K |
| 9 | Spread -1.5 | 40% | +147% | $168 |
| 10 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 40% | +150% | $15 |
| 11 | O/U 11.5 | 37% | +170% | $1K |
| 12 | Spread -1.5 | 32% | +208% | - |
| 13 | Spread -2.5 | 32% | +208% | $37 |
| 14 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 32% | +217% | - |
| 15 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 30% | +228% | - |
| 16 | Spread -2.5 | 24% | +326% | - |
| 17 | Extra Innings BEST VALUE | 8% | +1233% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 26 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks...
This prediction market tracks whether Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals will occur, with $112K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $112K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-02. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 26, 2026 at 16:15 UTC, the leading outcome is 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 86% probability, with $112K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $112K, with $112K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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