The market strongly favors NRFI at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NRFI | 100% | +0% | $11K |
| 2 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 86% | +16% | $11 |
| 3 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 79% | +27% | - |
| 4 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 72% | +40% | $3K |
| 5 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 66% | +53% | $45 |
| 6 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 60% | +68% | $6 |
| 7 | Spread -1.5 | 52% | +94% | $12 |
| 8 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 50% | +98% | $5 |
| 9 | O/U 7.5 | 50% | +98% | - |
| 10 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Extra Innings | 50% | +100% | $285 |
| 12 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 50% | +102% | - |
| 13 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 50% | +102% | $10 |
| 14 | O/U 8.5 | 48% | +106% | $1K |
| 15 | Spread -2.5 | 39% | +156% | - |
| 16 | O/U 9.5 | 38% | +160% | $394 |
| 17 | O/U 10.5 | 32% | +217% | - |
| 18 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros | 30% | +239% | $74K |
| 19 | Spread -1.5 BEST VALUE | 20% | +400% | $2K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Houston Astros, scheduled for July 17 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game....
This prediction market tracks whether Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros will occur, with $92K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: NRFI is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $90K traded in the last 24 hours alone (97% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-25. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 18, 2026 at 00:45 UTC, the leading outcome is NRFI at 100% probability, with $92K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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