The market strongly favors 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 100% | - | $38 |
| 2 | O/U 5.5 | 80% | +26% | $10K |
| 3 | O/U 6.5 | 67% | +49% | $2K |
| 4 | Spread -3.5 | 48% | +106% | - |
| 5 | O/U 7.5 | 48% | +111% | $1K |
| 6 | O/U 8.5 | 38% | +160% | $1K |
| 7 | Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | 38% | +167% | $469K |
| 8 | Spread -1.5 | 32% | +208% | $42K |
| 9 | O/U 9.5 | 25% | +300% | $62K |
| 10 | Spread -1.5 | 20% | +413% | $5K |
| 11 | Extra Innings | 16% | +506% | $780 |
| 12 | Spread -2.5 BEST VALUE | 10% | +953% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for July 20 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will r...
This prediction market tracks whether Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks will occur, with $600K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $599K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-07-28. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 21, 2026 at 03:45 UTC, the leading outcome is 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 at 100% probability, with $600K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $600K, with $599K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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