The market strongly favors 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 86%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 86% | +17% | - |
| 2 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 80% | +26% | $11 |
| 3 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 76% | +32% | $13 |
| 4 | O/U 7.5 | 76% | +32% | $27 |
| 5 | O/U 8.5 | 70% | +44% | $223 |
| 6 | O/U 9.5 | 60% | +65% | $187 |
| 7 | NRFI | 58% | +71% | $6 |
| 8 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 58% | +71% | - |
| 9 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 55% | +82% | - |
| 10 | O/U 10.5 | 54% | +87% | $3K |
| 11 | Extra Innings | 48% | +106% | $121 |
| 12 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 44% | +127% | - |
| 13 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics | 44% | +130% | $26K |
| 14 | O/U 11.5 | 44% | +130% | $3 |
| 15 | Spread -1.5 | 40% | +153% | $1K |
| 16 | O/U 12.5 | 38% | +167% | $466 |
| 17 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 37% | +170% | $131 |
| 18 | Spread -1.5 | 34% | +194% | $2 |
| 19 | Spread -2.5 | 30% | +233% | $33 |
| 20 | O/U 13.5 BEST VALUE | 29% | +245% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Athletics, scheduled for June 16 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. Th...
This prediction market tracks whether Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics will occur, with $31K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 is priced at 86%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $31K traded in the last 24 hours alone (99% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-06-24. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 16, 2026 at 18:35 UTC, the leading outcome is 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 86% probability, with $31K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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