The market strongly favors 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 2 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 3 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 4 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 5 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 100% | - | - |
| 6 | Spread -1.5 | 66% | +53% | $3K |
| 7 | O/U 7.5 | 58% | +71% | $832 |
| 8 | Extra Innings | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | O/U 9.5 | 48% | +106% | $7K |
| 10 | O/U 8.5 | 48% | +111% | $74K |
| 11 | Spread -2.5 | 30% | +233% | $1K |
| 12 | Spread -2.5 | 24% | +308% | $6K |
| 13 | Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets | 12% | +700% | $41K |
| 14 | Spread -1.5 BEST VALUE | 10% | +953% | $1K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and New York Mets, scheduled for August 16 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win t...
This prediction market tracks whether Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets will occur, with $135K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 is priced at 100%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $135K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-23. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 16, 2026 at 19:25 UTC, the leading outcome is 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 at 100% probability, with $135K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $135K, with $135K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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