The market strongly favors O/U 0.5 at 97%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 0.5 | 97% | +3% | $398 |
| 2 | O/U 1.5 | 88% | +13% | $296 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC O/U 0.5 | 84% | +18% | $77 |
| 4 | New York Red Bulls O/U 0.5 | 84% | +19% | $104 |
| 5 | 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 84% | +19% | - |
| 6 | 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 81% | +23% | - |
| 7 | O/U 2.5 | 72% | +40% | $234 |
| 8 | Both Teams to Score | 72% | +40% | $764 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 62% | +60% | - |
| 10 | 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 62% | +63% | - |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 60% | +67% | - |
| 12 | New York Red Bulls 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 56% | +79% | $209 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 56% | +80% | - |
| 14 | Chicago Fire FC O/U 1.5 | 55% | +82% | $157 |
| 15 | New York Red Bulls O/U 1.5 | 54% | +85% | $54 |
| 16 | O/U 3.5 | 52% | +94% | $3K |
| 17 | 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 48% | +106% | $4 |
| 18 | Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 42% | +135% | - |
| 19 | 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 39% | +156% | - |
| 20 | Chicago Fire FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BEST VALUE | 32% | +208% | - |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for August 22 at 7:30 PM ET.
This prediction market tracks whether New York Red Bulls vs. Chicago Fire FC - More Markets will occur, with $21K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: O/U 0.5 is priced at 97%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $15K traded in the last 24 hours alone (74% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-22. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 22, 2026 at 21:55 UTC, the leading outcome is O/U 0.5 at 97% probability, with $21K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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