Market is split — Wesley Bell at 59%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wesley Bell | 59% | +69% | $52K |
| 2 | Cori Bush | 41% | +144% | $62K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 m...
This prediction market tracks whether MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner will occur, with $114K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market is closely contested, with Wesley Bell leading at just 59%. This near-even split signals high uncertainty among traders, creating potential value opportunities for those with strong conviction based on their own analysis of the underlying factors.
Recent trading volume of $11K in 24 hours shows healthy market activity. Active markets tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as continuous trading ensures prices quickly incorporate new information.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-08-04. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 27, 2026 at 22:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Wesley Bell at 59% probability, with $114K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $114K, with $11K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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