The market strongly favors Thunder vs. Lakers at 100%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
High Volume — $7.4M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder vs. Lakers | 100% | - | $4.4M |
| 2 | Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 3.5 | 100% | - | $154 |
| 3 | Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | $20 |
| 4 | Deandre Ayton: Points O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | $21 |
| 5 | Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 100% | - | $55 |
| 6 | Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% | - | $357 |
| 7 | Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 0.5 | 100% | - | $111 |
| 8 | Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 0.5 | 100% | - | $144 |
| 9 | O/U 210.5 | 100% | - | $85K |
| 10 | 1H O/U 103.5 | 100% | - | $11K |
| 11 | Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 1.5 | 100% | - | $208 |
| 12 | Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 0.5 | 100% | - | $77 |
| 13 | Rui Hachimura: Assists O/U 0.5 | 100% | - | $103 |
| 14 | Spread -8.5 | 100% | - | $1.3M |
| 15 | O/U 211.5 | 100% | - | $354K |
| 16 | 1H O/U 102.5 | 100% | - | $4K |
| 17 | Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 17.5 | 100% | - | $73 |
| 18 | Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5 | 100% | - | $4K |
| 19 | Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 100% | - | $472 |
| 20 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% | - | $502 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 9 at 8:30PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the game is postponed,...
As of May 11, 2026 at 04:55 UTC, the leading outcome is Thunder vs. Lakers at 100% probability, with $7.4M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $7.4M, with $21K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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