The market strongly favors August 12, 2026 at 93%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | August 12, 2026 | 93% | +7% | $484 |
| 2 | August 9, 2026 | 90% | +10% | $5K |
| 3 | August 6, 2026 | 88% | +13% | $1K |
| 4 | August 3, 2026 | 79% | +27% | $3K |
| 5 | July 30, 2026 | 74% | +36% | $3K |
| 6 | July 27, 2026 | 51% | +95% | $9K |
| 7 | July 24, 2026 BEST VALUE | 16% | +506% | $7K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve to “Yes” if LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team on or before the listed date. If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cann...
This prediction market tracks whether NBA: Will LeBron James Sign By…? will occur, with $38K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by team performance data, historical matchups, and real-time injury reports.
The market shows strong consensus: August 12, 2026 is priced at 93%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $23K traded in the last 24 hours alone (61% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
As of Jul 22, 2026 at 08:15 UTC, the leading outcome is August 12, 2026 at 93% probability, with $38K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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