This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team advances to the semifinals of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the semifinals of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated, withdraws, disqualified), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament semifinals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arizona | 100% | $10K |
| 2 | UConn | 100% | $27K |
| 3 | Illinois | 100% | $2K |
| 4 | Michigan | 100% | $16K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 21:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Arizona at 100% probability, with $104K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $104K, with $25K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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