This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | December 31 | 42% | $987K |
| 2 | June 30 | 12% | $2.7M |
| 3 | April 30 | 3% | $3.9M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 18:46 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31 at 42% probability, with $89.4M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $89.4M, with $5.8M traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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