Market is split — December 31 at 44%. High uncertainty = high risk/reward opportunity.
High Volume — $120.4M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | December 31 BEST VALUE | 44% | +130% | $1.2M |
| 2 | June 30 | 4% | +2122% | $5.1M |
| 3 | May 31 | 1% | +11665% | $419K |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:5...
As of May 14, 2026 at 20:05 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31 at 44% probability, with $120.4M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $120.4M, with $36K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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