No clear favorite. Marine Le Pen leads at just 31%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $119.0M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marine Le Pen | 31% | +222% | $1.8M |
| 2 | Édouard Philippe | 26% | +292% | $1.2M |
| 3 | Jean-Luc Mélenchon BEST VALUE | 14% | +641% | $1.2M |
| 4 | Gabriel Attal | 4% | +2567% | $1.9M |
| 5 | François Hollande | 4% | +2640% | $1.5M |
| 6 | Jordan Bardella | 3% | +3075% | $1.8M |
| 7 | David Lisnard | 3% | +3179% | $1.6M |
| 8 | Bruno Retailleau | 2% | +4551% | $1.9M |
| 9 | Sarah Knafo | 2% | +4778% | $1.7M |
| 10 | Dominique de Villepin | 2% | +5028% | $1.6M |
| 11 | Raphaël Glucksmann | 1% | +6797% | $1.4M |
| 12 | Sébastien Lecornu | 1% | +6797% | $1.4M |
| 13 | Éric Zemmour | 1% | +13233% | $2.0M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follow...
This prediction market tracks whether Next French Presidential Election will occur, with $119.0M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
No clear favorite has emerged — Marine Le Pen leads at only 31% across 13 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
The market has seen $152K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-04-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Aug 13, 2026 at 15:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Marine Le Pen at 31% probability, with $119.0M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $119.0M, with $152K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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