No clear favorite. Jordan Bardella leads at just 24%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $71.4M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan Bardella | 24% | +326% | $893K |
| 2 | Édouard Philippe | 20% | +413% | $702K |
| 3 | Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 10% | +852% | $555K |
| 4 | Marine Le Pen BEST VALUE | 6% | +1718% | $516K |
| 5 | David Lisnard | 5% | +2051% | $1.2M |
| 6 | Dominique de Villepin | 5% | +2074% | $1.2M |
| 7 | François Hollande | 4% | +2432% | $1.0M |
| 8 | Gabriel Attal | 3% | +2799% | $1.2M |
| 9 | Bruno Retailleau | 3% | +3075% | $1.4M |
| 10 | Raphaël Glucksmann | 2% | +4155% | $833K |
| 11 | Sarah Knafo | 2% | +4778% | $1.3M |
| 12 | Éric Zemmour | 1% | +10426% | $1.5M |
| 13 | Sébastien Lecornu | 1% | +10426% | $887K |
| 14 | Jean Castex | 1% | +11665% | $738K |
| 15 | Juan Branco | 1% | +11665% | $1.4M |
| 16 | Bernard Cazeneuve | 1% | +11665% | $1.3M |
| 17 | Laurent Wauquiez | 1% | +13233% | $2.0M |
| 18 | Valérie Pécresse | 1% | +13233% | $2.6M |
| 19 | Gérald Darmanin | 1% | +13233% | $729K |
| 20 | Clémence Guetté | 1% | +13233% | $2.7M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follow...
As of May 15, 2026 at 09:15 UTC, the leading outcome is Jordan Bardella at 24% probability, with $71.4M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $71.4M, with $604K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
What Are Prediction Markets? · How to Trade · Odds Calculator · Compare Platforms