No clear favorite. On or prior to September 22 leads at just 36%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | On or prior to September 22 | 36% | +178% | $3K |
| 2 | September 23 | 26% | +292% | $608 |
| 3 | September 24 | 24% | +317% | $847 |
| 4 | September 30 | 16% | +519% | $652 |
| 5 | September 29 | 12% | +733% | $888 |
| 6 | October 2 | 10% | +857% | $725 |
| 7 | No release by October 5 BEST VALUE | 10% | +871% | $480 |
| 8 | September 28 | 4% | +2532% | $623 |
| 9 | October 1 | 3% | +3290% | $578 |
| 10 | September 25 | 3% | +3822% | $788 |
| 11 | October 3 | 2% | +4155% | $774 |
| 12 | October 5 | 1% | +8596% | $711 |
| 13 | September 26 | 1% | +16567% | $953 |
| 14 | September 27 | 1% | +16567% | $953 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifi...
This prediction market tracks whether Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+) released on...? will occur, with $13K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
No clear favorite has emerged — On or prior to September 22 leads at only 36% across 14 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $13K traded in the last 24 hours alone (100% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-06. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 22, 2026 at 10:05 UTC, the leading outcome is On or prior to September 22 at 36% probability, with $13K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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