No clear favorite. September 2 leads at just 39%. Many possible outcomes.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | September 2 | 39% | +159% | $1K |
| 2 | September 1 | 38% | +167% | $6K |
| 3 | September 7 | 24% | +318% | $714 |
| 4 | September 10 | 23% | +327% | $567 |
| 5 | September 3 BEST VALUE | 13% | +694% | $3K |
| 6 | September 29 | 4% | +2400% | $1K |
| 7 | No release by September 30 | 4% | +2400% | $3K |
| 8 | September 4 | 4% | +2678% | $2K |
| 9 | September 11 | 3% | +3746% | $221 |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or...
This prediction market tracks whether Next Mythos-Class Model released on…? will occur, with $34K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by available information and market participant behavior.
No clear favorite has emerged — September 2 leads at only 39% across 9 possible outcomes. Markets with this level of uncertainty typically offer the highest potential returns but also carry the greatest risk.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $17K traded in the last 24 hours alone (51% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-30. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Sep 01, 2026 at 16:15 UTC, the leading outcome is September 2 at 39% probability, with $34K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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