Magdalena Andersson leads at 84%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
High Volume — $3.3M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magdalena Andersson | 84% | +20% | $124K |
| 2 | Ulf Kristersson BEST VALUE | 13% | +669% | $115K |
| 3 | Jimmie Åkesson | 3% | +3746% | $1.4M |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of...
This prediction market tracks whether Next Prime Minister of Sweden will occur, with $3.3M in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward Magdalena Andersson at 84%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
The market has seen $14K in 24-hour volume, suggesting a period of relative calm. Lower activity periods can present value opportunities for traders who spot mispriced odds before the broader market reacts.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-09-13. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jul 30, 2026 at 15:05 UTC, the leading outcome is Magdalena Andersson at 84% probability, with $3.3M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $3.3M, with $14K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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