No clear favorite. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? leads at just 28%. Many possible outcomes.
High Volume — $28.1M traded| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 28% | +264% | $28.1M |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market w...
As of May 15, 2026 at 00:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? at 28% probability, with $28.1M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $28.1M, with $68K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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