Bola Tinubu leads at 62%. Moderate consensus — room for value on contrarian bets.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bola Tinubu | 62% | +60% | $28K |
| 2 | Candidate K | 50% | +100% | - |
| 3 | Candidate L | 50% | +100% | - |
| 4 | Candidate M | 50% | +100% | - |
| 5 | Candidate N | 50% | +100% | - |
| 6 | Candidate P | 50% | +100% | - |
| 7 | Candidate B | 50% | +100% | - |
| 8 | Other | 50% | +100% | - |
| 9 | Candidate D | 50% | +100% | - |
| 10 | Candidate A | 50% | +100% | - |
| 11 | Candidate C | 50% | +100% | - |
| 12 | Candidate E | 50% | +100% | - |
| 13 | Candidate F | 50% | +100% | - |
| 14 | Candidate G | 50% | +100% | - |
| 15 | Candidate H | 50% | +100% | - |
| 16 | Candidate I | 50% | +100% | - |
| 17 | Candidate J | 50% | +100% | - |
| 18 | Candidate O | 50% | +100% | - |
| 19 | Peter Obi BEST VALUE | 38% | +160% | $14K |
| 20 | Rotimi Amaechi | 1% | +9424% | $4K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This mar...
This prediction market tracks whether Nigerian Presidential Election Winner will occur, with $53K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
Traders lean toward Bola Tinubu at 62%, suggesting a probable but not certain outcome. This moderate confidence level often reflects genuine uncertainty — markets at this range tend to see the most price movement as new information emerges.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $18K traded in the last 24 hours alone (35% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2027-01-16. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Jun 23, 2026 at 19:45 UTC, the leading outcome is Bola Tinubu at 62% probability, with $53K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
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