The market strongly favors Mark Sutcliffe at 99%. High confidence — but lower potential returns.
| # | Outcome | Probability | If Right | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Sutcliffe | 99% | +1% | $71K |
| 2 | Jeff Leiper | 1% | +12400% | $26K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this el...
This prediction market tracks whether Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner will occur, with $131K in total trading volume reflecting significant trader interest. Prediction markets aggregate the collective intelligence of participants who stake real money on outcomes, making them one of the most reliable forecasting tools available for events driven by polling data, political developments, and historical voting patterns.
The market shows strong consensus: Mark Sutcliffe is priced at 99%, indicating traders overwhelmingly expect this outcome. At this probability level, the potential return on a correct bet is relatively low, but contrarian positions carry significant upside if the consensus proves wrong.
Trading activity is exceptionally high, with $26K traded in the last 24 hours alone (20% of total volume). This surge often indicates breaking news, a key deadline approaching, or a significant shift in market sentiment.
This market is scheduled to resolve by 2026-10-27. As the resolution date approaches, expect increased trading activity and tighter probability estimates. Historical data shows that prediction market accuracy improves significantly in the final days before resolution.
As of Oct 27, 2026 at 01:35 UTC, the leading outcome is Mark Sutcliffe at 99% probability, with $131K in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $131K, with $26K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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