This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
| # | Outcome | Probability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $50M | 90% | $194K |
| 2 | $100M | 71% | $207K |
| 3 | $200M | 54% | $458K |
| 4 | $300M | 40% | $503K |
| 5 | $400M | 30% | $333K |
| 6 | $500M | 24% | $315K |
| 7 | $600M | 18% | $149K |
| 8 | $800M | 15% | $134K |
| 9 | $1B | 8% | $265K |
| 10 | $1.5B | 6% | $42K |
| 11 | $2B | 6% | $69K |
Real-money prediction market · Trade with confidence
As of Mar 30, 2026 at 21:50 UTC, the leading outcome is $50M at 90% probability, with $2.7M in total trading volume on Polymarket.
The total trading volume for this market is $2.7M, with $26K traded in the last 24 hours. This represents real money at stake from prediction market traders on Polymarket.
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